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The analysis of the risk dimension of unemployment adds on the study of issues such as its typology (frictional, structural and cyclical), active-search methods and vulnerability to unemployment. On this sense, the incidence rate of unemployment is a composed indicator which combines both the level of unemployment and the persistence of it (its duration). An analytical decomposition of the different features of unemployment incidence allows for a deeper characterization of vulnerability to the likelihood of becoming unemployed and to remain in such state. We find that in the Colombian labour market there are significant differences between the unemployment rate and the incidence rate, which implies that the outcomes of the labour market are not just explained by the effect of aggregate shocks but by the duration effects of the different labour states, which are also important on explaining the short and long run dynamics of the labour market. El analisis de la dimension de riesgo en el estudio del desempleo, complementa el estudio de aspectos como su tipologia, la importancia de la intermediacion laboral o la vulnerabilidad de ciertos grupos. En este sentido, la tasa de incidencia representa un indicador compuesto que tiene en cuenta el volumen de desempleados y la persistencia en este estado mediante la incorporacion de la duracion media del desempleo. El analisis de la tasa de incidencia permite caracterizar de manera mas completa a quienes tienen una mayor probabilidad de entrar en el desempleo o permanecer en esta situacion. . Se encuentra que en Colombia existen diferencias significativas entre la tasa de desempleo y la tasa de incidencia, lo que implica que la situacion del mercado de trabajo no solo se explica por el efecto que los choques economicos tienen sobre la composicion de la oferta y demanda de trabajo sino tambien por los fenomenos de duracion en los diferentes estados laborales. Estos eventos se pueden considerar igualmente importantes para explicar la dinamica de corto y mediano plazo del mercado laboral.

Who is Affected by Unemployment? Analysis of the Incidence Rate in Colombia (¿A Quiénes Afecta El Desempleo? Análisis De La Tasa De Incidencia En Colombia)