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Voter participation has declined in 16 of 18 established industrial democracies between 1950 and 1998, while national electoral institutions have remained fairly constant. At the same time, analysis of Left-Right party profiles over the same period reveals that the majority of industrial democracies have witnessed a drift toward centrist party profiles. Do increasingly similar party profiles lower voters’ sense of stake in elections, thereby contributing to declining turnout? Multi-variate analysis of a pooled cross-section of elections from 1950 and 1998 suggests that converging party profiles have little impact, while unionization levels remain the strongest indicators of relative change in turnout levels.

Declining Voter Turnout in Comparative Perspective: A Result of Converging Party Profiles?