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It is believed that The National Demographic Security Program for 2011–2015 will be able to overcome the depopulation in Belarus. Effectiveness of its implementation is very important not only for demographic but also the national security of the country. To estimate the impact of demographic policy as part of the social-economic factors special methods are proposed. It also allows separating influence of structural factor. The main conclusions of the research are that structural factors have changed their focus and they are currently blocking the implementation of the Program. During the period of 2011–2013 structural factors had a negative impact both on the changes in the number of births and deaths in the country, while The National Demographic Security Program for 2011–2015 has been successful and most targets have been achieved already in 2013.

Impact of Structural and Socio-Economic Factors on the Number of Births and Deaths in the Republic of Belarus