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This article analyzes international business cycles in Europe 1862-1913 using disaggregated data and Dynamic Factor Analysis. It is important to know if crises are of national or international nature in order to correctly understand their causes and develop adequate solutions to prevent future crises. In comparison with estimates of real national product there is more evidence for international business cycles in disaggregated data of Germany, France and Great Britain before World War I. This is because data used to construct historical national accounts are often not sufficient, and especially because little is known about general price fluctuations. Thus, national products in current prices show higher degrees of international correlation than deflated ones although price indices themselves are not very well correlated across countries.

Die Identifikation internationaler Konjunkturzyklen in disaggregierten Daten: Deutschland, Frankreich und Großbritannien, 1862-1913