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Background : Interpretation of serial data in monitoring of patients is usually performed by use of the ‘reference change value’ (RCV). While this tool for interpretation of measured differences is simple and clear, there are a number of drawbacks attached to the uncritical use of this concept. It is a dichotomised interpretation of continuous data using a fixed probability without any counter hypothesis. Therefore, a tool for better understanding and interpretation of measured differences in monitoring is needed.

‘Likelihood-ratio’ and ‘odds’ applied to monitoring of patients as a supplement to ‘reference change value’ (RCV)