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This paper presents the development of a raveling prediction model for the highway network built in double surface treatmen in State of Bahia. Its starting point was a factorial design, based on information from a highway database provided by the Departamento de Infraestrutura de Transportes da Bahia (DERBA). The factors considered were the pavement age, traffic and rainfall. The Analysis of Variance was the technique used to analyze and assess the significant factors and define the parameters of the performance model. To verify the adequacy of the statistical model was used the straight fit to the observed data set, with determination of the correlation coefficient (r), residue analysis, and normal probability plot of the residuals. The model developed in this work showed fit to the data and a correlation coefficient r = 0.74.

Modelo de previsão da área de desgaste em pavimentos rodoviários com revestimento em tratamento superficial