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RESUMEN: Aldo Ferrer trata de identificar los distintos prototipos de ciclos economicos que se dan a largo plazo en la evolucion de la economia argentina. Para ello, estudia las fluctuaciones de la produccion y el empleo y el ajuste de los pagos internacionales en tres periodos diferentes: el primario-exportador; el industrial sustitutivo de importaciones y el de hegemonia financiera. Ferrer concluye senalando que Argentina debe recomponer su insercion internacional y ademas que esta respuesta es politica: la capacidad de la sociedad argentina para asumir la gobernabilidad de la economia. ABSTRACT: Aldo Ferrer tries to identify the distinct prototypes of economical long-dated cycles which exist in the evolution of the Argentinian economy. In order to this, he studies the fluctuations of production and employment and the adjustment of international payments in three different periods: the export-primary period; the import substitute industrialization process and the financial hegemony. Ferrer concludes indicating that Argentinian economy needs to recompose its international insertion and therefore, that this answer is especially political in the sense of the social capacity to assume tbe gobernability of the economy.

Los ciclos económicos en la Argentina: del modelo primario exportador al sistema de hegemonía financiera