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In all competitions where results are based upon an individual's performancethe question of whether the outcome is a consequence of skill or luck arises.We explore this question through an analysis of a large dataset ofapproximately one million contestants playing Fantasy Premier League, an onlinefantasy sport where managers choose players from the English football (soccer)league. We show that managers' ranks over multiple seasons are correlated andwe analyse the actions taken by managers to increase their likelihood ofsuccess. The prime factors in determining a manager's success are found to belong-term planning and consistently good decision-making in the face of thenoisy contests upon which this game is based. Similarities between managers'decisions over time that result in the emergence of 'template' teams,suggesting a form of herding dynamics taking place within the game, are alsoobserved. Taken together, these findings indicate common strategicconsiderations and consensus among successful managers on crucial decisionpoints over an extended temporal period.

Identification of skill in an online game: The case of Fantasy Premier League