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This paper investigates the effects of analyst recommendations issued after a merger announcement on deal completion. We find the probability of completion increases decreases with the favorability of acquirer target recommendations. Results from instrumental variables tests support causality running from recommendations to merger outcomes. Additional tests suggest that these relations are driven by target shareholders reassessing the merger offer in response to movements in acquirer and target valuations. We also find that favorably recommended firms in a proposed merger underperform following deal resolution, suggesting that investors overreact to postmerger announcement recommendations.  This paper was accepted by Wei Jiang, finance.

Do Stock Analysts Influence Merger Completion? An Examination of Postmerger Announcement Recommendations