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As a province with large population, Shandong Province has been moving more and more actively since the 21st century, especially from rural areas to urban areas. The process of urbanization has been speeding up and entered a period of rapid development. With the rapid economic development of Shandong Province, the disposable income of residents is also increasing. The accelerated urbanization process and the increasing disposable income have had many effects. Among them, the impact of the two on fertility has important research significance. Based on the analysis of spatial sequence data of urbanization and income in Shandong Province, this paper establishes an E-VIEWS econometric model, and draws corresponding conclusions through data fitting, in order to explore the impact of urbanization and income on fertility in Shandong Province. Introduction As a populous province in China, Shandong Province has actively responded to the call of the state and strictly implemented the family planning policy since the implementation of the family planning policy in the 1980s. The population of Shandong Province has been under planned control. After the implementation of the two-child policy in 2014, the fertility rate in Shandong Province has been higher than the national average. Especially in 2016, the gap is widening. In 2013, Shandong's birth rate was only 1.86 ‰ than that of the whole country. In 2016, the gap widened to 4.94‰. In 2017, the birth rate of Shandong Province was 17.54 ‰ and that of the whole country was 12.43 ‰ with a widening gap of more than 5‰.The reasons for the high birth rate in Shandong Province are firstly the large population base in Shandong Province, which is related to the centralized release of long-term accumulated fertility desire; secondly, influenced by traditional culture, most families pursue the ideal of "Sons and daughters". Finally, Shandong county economy is developed, urban development is dominated by small and medium-sized cities, house prices are much more stable than those in northern Shangguang and Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces, and the lower Upbringing cost also makes people dare to bear children. Through the investigation, the author finds that the birth rate gap in Shandong Province is relatively large. The reason is that the population base of different cities in Shandong Province is quite different. At the same time, the economic development situation of each city is also quite different. The process of urbanization is different, and the gap of per capita income level is large. These are the main reasons that lead to the difference of fertility behavior. Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Resident Income and Urbanization Rate on Fertility Variable Selection and Data Sources Based on the research on the influencing factors of fertility at home and abroad, this paper specifically analyses the influence of residents' income and urbanization rate on fertility in Shandong Province, and then determines the theme, chooses population birth rate as the explanatory variable, and the explanatory variable includes residents' income and urbanization rate. Establish E-VIEWS econometric model and draw corresponding conclusions through data fitting in order to explore the impact of urbanization and income on fertility in Shandong Province. Birth Rate. This paper chooses the birth rate of 17 cities in Shandong Province in 2017 as the explanatory variable. 126 Population birth rate = year-end new-born population / year-end total population. Figure 1. Population Birth Rate in Shandong Province in 2017(‰) ;Data from Shandong Statistical Yearbook. Urbanization Rate. This paper chooses the proportion of urban population in 17 cities of Shandong Province in 2017 as an index to measure the urbanization level of each city. The reason for choosing the level of urbanization as an independent variable is not only that the level of urbanization reflects the transformation of urban and rural population structure, but also that it reflects the transformation of production mode, lifestyle and behavior mode from tradition to modernization, as well as the progress of society and the change of people's ideas. Relevant studies show that the urbanization level is negatively correlated with the total fertility rate. The lower the urbanization level, the lower the total fertility rate. On the contrary, the lower the urbanization level, the higher the total fertility rate.Urbanization Rate = Urban Population/Total Population. Figure 2. Urbanization Rate of Shandong Province in 2017; Data from Shandong Statistical Yearbook. Per Capita Disposable Income of Residents. The per capita disposable income of urban and rural residents in 2017 is selected as a variable to measure the level of economic development in Shandong Province. The development of economic level is first reflected in the change of residents' income level. It also promotes the improvement of culture and education level, the improvement of women's employment rate and employment status, changes people's values and lifestyles, and changes people's reproductive concepts and behavior. Per capita disposable income of urban and rural residents = per capita disposable income of urban residents*proportion of urban population + per capita net income of rural residents * proportion of rural population.

The Impact Analysis of Resident Income and Urbanization on Fertility in Shandong Province