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The presentation analyzes whether the success of persuasive messages depends on an individual's behavioral bias: If at the onset of a savings period saving goals are chosen with over- or underconfidence, i.e. individuals over- or underestimate their savings potential, individuals might save too little and even stop saving altogether. Thus, given an individual's characteristics different dis- or encouraging messages might help to achieve the savings goals. The messages encourage some individuals to reconsider their self-set goal and to choose either a more ambitious or a more cautious goal. In our experiment we randomly assign moneyboxes in combination with these persuasive messages to 940 current and former clients of a microfinance institution in rural Ethiopia. Two baseline surveys and a recently collected follow-up data allow for an in-depth analysis of the mechanisms and the steps involved in the persuasive process that is likely to lead to different saving performances.

Overconfidence, Underconfidence, and the Use of Persuasive Messages in the Attainment of Savings Goals