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Although peak oxygen uptake (pV̇O 2 ) is a well-established powerful prognostic predictor in heart failure (HF) patients, implementation of cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPX) is limited by its complex analysis. We aimed to develop a new bivariate predictor obtained without respiratory gas measurement, comparable to pV̇O 2 .Methods and Results:We studied 560 consecutive HF patients with ejection fraction (EF) &lt;45% who underwent CPX. During a median follow-up of 49.0 months, the composite of all-cause death or HF hospitalization occurred in 228 patients (40.7%) and all-cause death in 111 (19.8%). pV̇O 2 was the strongest single predictor of the composite outcome (chi-square, 99.3). Among the bivariate non-spirometry parameters, the ratio of systolic blood pressure at peak exercise to left atrial diameter (pSBP/LAD) was the strongest predictor (chi-square, 112.4). Patients with pSBP/LAD &lt;2.8 mmHg/mm, compared with those with pSBP/LAD ≥2.8 mmHg/mm, had a hazard ratio of 3.84 (95% confidence interval, 2.95-5.04) for the composite outcome and 3.66 (2.50-5.37) for all-cause death. In the subgroup with pV̇O 2 &lt;14 mL/kg/min (n=149), where pV̇O 2 had no further predictive value, pSBP was the strongest single predictor, and the predictive power of pSBP/LAD was more enhanced.

circulation journal

Combination of Peak Exercise Systolic Blood Pressure and Left Atrial Diameter as a Novel Non-Spirometry Prognostic Predictor Comparable to Peak Oxygen Uptake for Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction