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Background  Systemic juvenile idiopathic arthritis (sJIA) and adult-onset Still’s disease (AOSD) are manifestations of an autoinflammatory disorder with complex pathophysiology and significant morbidity, together also termed Still’s disease. The objective of the current study is to set in silico models based on systems biology and investigate the optimal treat-to-target strategy for Still’s disease as a proof-of-concept of the modeling approach.    Methods  Molecular characteristics of Still’s disease and data on biological inhibitors of interleukin (IL)-1 (anakinra, canakinumab), IL-6 (tocilizumab, sarilumab), and glucocorticoids as well as conventional disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (DMARDs, methotrexate) were used to construct  in silico  mechanisms of action (MoA) models by means of Therapeutic Performance Mapping System (TPMS) technology. TPMS combines artificial neuronal networks, sampling-based methods, and artificial intelligence. Model outcomes were validated with published expression data from sJIA patients.    Results  Biologicals demonstrated more pathophysiology-directed efficiency than non-biological drugs. IL-1 blockade mainly acts on proteins implicated in the innate immune system, while IL-6 signaling blockade has a weaker effect on innate immunity and rather affects adaptive immune mechanisms. The MoA models showed that in the autoinflammatory/systemic phases of Still’s disease, in which the innate immunity plays a pivotal role, the IL-1β-neutralizing antibody canakinumab is more efficient than the IL-6 receptor-inhibiting antibody tocilizumab. MoA models reproduced 67% of the information obtained from expression data.    Conclusions  Systems biology-based modeling supported the preferred use of biologics as an immunomodulatory treatment strategy for Still’s disease. Our results reinforce the role for IL-1 blockade on innate immunity regulation, which is critical in systemic autoinflammatory diseases. This further encourages early use on Still’s disease IL-1 blockade to prevent the development of disease or drug-related complications. Further analysis at the clinical level will validate the findings and help determining the timeframe of the window of opportunity for canakinumab treatment.    Supplementary Information  The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13075-021-02507-w.

Application of systems biology-based in silico tools to optimize treatment strategy identification in Still’s disease