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Background  The effects of adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with stage II colorectal cancer (CRC) has been in controversy for a long time. Our study aimed to find an effective inflammatory marker to predict the effects of chemotherapy.    Methods  Seven hundred eight stage II CRC patients in our institution were included. The subpopulation treatment effect pattern plot (STEPP) analysis was used to determine the optimal inflammatory marker and cut-off value. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to balance discrepancy between the chemotherapy and non-chemotherapy group. Survival analyses based on overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were performed with Kaplan-Meier methods with log-rank test and Cox proportional hazards regression. The restricted mean survival time (RMST) was used to measure treatment effect.    Results  The platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) was chosen as the optimal marker with a cut-off value of 130 according to STEPP. In OS analysis, PLR was significantly associated with the effects of chemotherapy (interaction  p  = 0.027). In the low-PLR subgroup, the chemotherapy patients did not have a longer OS than the non-chemotherapy patients (HR: 0.983, 95% CI: 0.528–1.829). In the high-PLR subgroup, the chemotherapy patients had a significantly longer OS than the non-chemotherapy patients (HR: 0.371, 95% CI: 0.212–0.649). After PSM, PLR was still associated with the effects of chemotherapy. In CSS analysis, PLR was not significantly associated with the effects of chemotherapy (interaction  p  = 0.116). In the low-PLR subgroup, the chemotherapy patients did not have a longer CSS than the non-chemotherapy patients (HR: 1.016, 95% CI: 0.494–2.087). In the high-PLR subgroup, the chemotherapy patients had a longer CSS than the non-chemotherapy patients (HR: 0.371, 95% CI: 0.212–0.649). After PSM, PLR was not associated with the effects of chemotherapy.    Conclusions  PLR is an effective marker to predict the effects of chemotherapy in patients with stage II CRC.    Supplementary Information  The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12885-021-08521-0.

bmc cancer

The platelet to lymphocyte ratio is a potential inflammatory marker predicting the effects of adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with stage II colorectal cancer