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Background  Experimental evolution of microbes often involves a serial transfer protocol, where microbes are repeatedly diluted by transfer to a fresh medium, starting a new growth cycle. This has revealed that evolution can be remarkably reproducible, where microbes show parallel adaptations both on the level of the phenotype as well as the genotype. However, these studies also reveal a strong potential for divergent evolution, leading to diversity both between and within replicate populations. We here study how in silico evolved Virtual Microbe “wild types” (WTs) adapt to a serial transfer protocol to investigate generic evolutionary adaptations, and how these adaptations can be manifested by a variety of different mechanisms.    Results  We show that all WTs evolve to anticipate the regularity of the serial transfer protocol by adopting a fine-tuned balance of growth and survival. This anticipation is done by evolving either a high yield mode, or a high growth rate mode. We find that both modes of anticipation can be achieved by individual lineages and by collectives of microbes. Moreover, these different outcomes can be achieved with or without regulation, although the individual-based anticipation without regulation is less well adapted in the high growth rate mode.    Conclusions  All our in silico WTs evolve to trust the hand that feeds by evolving to anticipate the periodicity of a serial transfer protocol, but can do so by evolving two distinct growth strategies. Furthermore, both these growth strategies can be accomplished by gene regulation, a variety of different polymorphisms, and combinations thereof. Our work reveals that, even under controlled conditions like those in the lab, it may not be possible to predict individual evolutionary trajectories, but repeated experiments may well result in only a limited number of possible outcomes.

Trusting the hand that feeds: microbes evolve to anticipate a serial transfer protocol as individuals or collectives