Inter- and Intra-Rater Reliability of Predictive Models for the Non-Operative Healing Potential of Stable Juvenile Osteochondritis Dissecans (JOCD) Knee Lesions

Objectives:While juvenile osteochondritis dissecans (JOCD) lesions have greater healing potential than equivalent lesions in adults, only 50% of JOCD lesions demonstrate radiographic healing after 6 months of non-operative treatment. Krause et al. (2013) and Wall et al. (2008) have described models to predict a patientu0027s probability of healing with non-operative treatment based on patient and lesion characteristics. The Wall et al. nomogram incorporates normalized lesion length, normalized lesion width, and pain type, while the Krause et al. model includes normalized lesion width, patient age, and the size of concurrent cyst-like lesions. The purpose of this study was to determine inter- and intra-observer reliability of the predictive nomograms.