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Background:   Active surveillance (AS) as a treatment option for low risk prostate cancer is gaining recognition. We evaluate the validity of the AS protocol in our patient population, by defining the risk of undergrading and understaging in their pathology. We also aim to determine more accurate inclusion criteria, in order to improve the prediction of early low risk prostate cancer.Materials and Methods:   Data was taken from our institutional prostate cancer registry for all men who underwent radical prostatectomy (RP) between Jan 2000 and June 2009. We determined if any of the patients would have met the University of Toronto's (UoT) AS inclusion criteria and examined their post-operative pathology. The primary end-point was pathological upgrading and upstaging. The individual inclusion factors i.e. preoperative PSA, were tested for statistical significance and better cutoffs. Univariate, multivariate and ROC curves were used in the statistical analysis.Results:   216 RPs were performed between January 2000 and June 2009. We identified 79 men who fulfilled the UoT AS criteria. 35% of patients had a Gleason score upgrade from biopsy to surgery, and 21.5% of patients had an upstage to T3 disease. Overall, 34 (43%) patients had an unfavourable change in the grade and/or stage of their prostate cancer.Conclusions:   There is a significant risk of undergrading and understaging with the current criteria used for AS. There is a need to identify more discriminative AS criteria before it can be offered as an option to patients with clinically early prostate cancer.

Pathological Outcome in Men with Prostate Cancer Suitable for Active Surveillance after Radical Prostatectomy