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The emerging system at the European level can be conceptualized as a patternof relations among member states that tends to be reproduced despitedisturbances in individual trajectories. The Markov property is used as anindicator of systemness in the distribution. The individual trajectories ofnations participating in the European Monetary System is assessed using aninformation theoretical model that is consistent with the Markov property inthe multivariate case. Economic and monetary integration are analyzed usingindependent data sets. Increasing integration can be retrieved in both of thesedimensions, notably since the currency crises of 1992 and 1993. However, thedynamics for countries which have strongly coupled their currency to the GermanMark are different from those which did not. Additionally, developments ininflation and exchange rates at the European level are assessed in relation toglobal developments.

Is the European Monetary System converging to integration?