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The study investigates the local climatological minimum of tropical cyclogenesis over the eastern Caribbean Sea. This area, colloquially known by forecasters as the “hurricane graveyard,” is located within the deep tropical easterlies. Tropical disturbances emerging from the African continent usually pass through the Lesser Antilles and into the eastern Caribbean. Satellite imagery shows disturbances that frequently exhibit decreasing convection in an area bounded by the islands to the north and east, Venezuela to the south, and roughly 75°W longitude to the west. Quick Scatterometer (QuikSCAT)-derived surface winds during clear-sky conditions frequently show the presence of accelerating easterlies in the central Caribbean as part of the Caribbean low-level jet (CLLJ). Analysis of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction–National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP–NCAR) reanalysis project wind fields suggests the presence of an area of persistent low-level mass divergence over the eastern Cari...

Local Minimum of Tropical Cyclogenesis in the Eastern Caribbean