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A workshop on ensemble forecasting in the short to medium ranges (~ 0-14 days forecast lead time)was held at the National Center for Atmospheric Research, in Boulder, CO, September 9-11, 1999.Approximately 45 people attended this workshop, with approximately a quarter joining us from outside theU.S.. The purpose of the workshop was to discuss the current state of knowledge of ensemble forecasting, todefine the most important research problems for the next few years, and to...

Ensemble Forecasting in the Short to Medium Range: Report from a Workshop