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Following a transient increase in the atmospheric carbon dioxide to double the current level, and a subsequent maintenance at the doubled level, there is a climate shift toward a new equilibrium state. Changes in the mean temperature and precipitation, and changes in the occurrence frequencies of their extremes for the doubled carbon dioxide conditions have been assessed at the continental scale. There is a characteristic spatial pattern that involves a maximum annual mean warming in high northern latitudes and a minimum annual mean warming around Antarctica and in the northern North Atlantic. Under maintained doubled carbon dioxide, this interhemispheric asymmetry disappears except for an ocean–land asymmetry. A possible mechanism for this is considered in terms of changes in effective thermal capacity due to a reduction of overturning in the oceans that continues to decline after the atmospheric carbon dioxide stops increasing. It is also found that global warming becomes most noticeable in the...

journal of climate

Simulated Changes in the Frequency of Extremes and Regional Features of Seasonal/Annual Temperature and Precipitation when Atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub>Is Doubled

Simulated Changes in the Frequency of Extremes and Regional Features of Seasonal/Annual Temperature and Precipitation when Atmospheric CO2Is Doubled

Simulated Changes in the Frequency of Extremes and Regional Features of Seasonal/Annual Temperature and Precipitation when Atmospheric CO₂Is Doubled