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Effective counter-terrorism efforts require practical and realistic risk management decisions. Since our resources are limited, clearly we should allocate them in sensible proportions and on parallel tracks in order to achieve optimal results over the long term. Unfortunately, while we are good at mobilizing resources to defend against perceived imminent threats, we often neglect or underfund other important activities, such as enhanced diplomacy, which could reduce those threats in the future. With respect to counter-terrorism, it is difficult to make up for lost time in areas involving diplomacy. Building mutual trust and respect is an ongoing activity that cannot be rushed. Adding more people or more money later on does not shorten the time required to achieve mutual trust in the diplomatic arena. It may even delay the creation of such trust, as it indicates an inconsistency in commitment to the diplomatic process. Therefore, it is important to provide more resources for diplomacy as soon as possible, so that when cooperative counter-terrorism efforts are needed, the groundwork is already in place to maximize effectiveness. In particular, if we are to better coordinate our intelligence efforts, it is imperative to establish lasting relationships, both bilaterally and multilaterally, to reinforce mutual trust and commitment, and to overcome any political or cultural differences that might negatively affect cooperation. I acknowledge the dilemmas and trade-offs we face when having to choose between short-term and long-term actions. If we fail to put forth the maximum effort to stop immediate threats, there can be serious economic, political, and human consequences should a terrorist attack take place. On the other hand, if we fail to devote sufficient resources to long-term efforts directed at the mitigation of future terrorism, the threats may eventually multiply beyond our capability to defend against them. In my view, this is the greater danger.

Enhancing Diplomatic Effectiveness: A Common-Sense Risk Management Approach to Counter-terrorism