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Forage production Brachiaria brizantha: adaptation, generation and evaluation of empirical and mechanistic models to estimate the forage accumulation The grasses represent plants of great economic interest. Several tropical species that are presented as options for pasture establishment in Brazil, so the objective of this work is to determine the factors that should be considered in models for prediction of forage in Brachiaria brizantha generate and test empirical models for predicting the rate of dry matter accumulation in Marandu grass, and parameterize and compare mechanistic models to estimate the dry matter production of Marandu grass. For this, an experiment was conducted at Embrapa Southeast Cattle, located in São Carlos SP. The experimental design was randomized complete block with four replications. The cultivars of Brachiaria brizantha cv. Marandu, Xaraés and Piatã were valued at free growth and with a cut each 35 days in a factorial 3x2. It was evaluated: herbage accumulation, leaf area index (LAI), at specific leaf area (SLA), height of apical meristem, plant height and tiller growth stage. The cut affected the herbage dry matter accumulated by cutting up the residue in all cultivars of B. brizantha, and the Xaraés cultivar showed the greatest accumulation when compared to the cultivars and Marandu Piatã. In the evaluation of ERA, there was no effect of cultivar, where the Piatã had the lowest average (136,3 cm.g), however Xaraés and Marandu cultivars were similar (163,6 and 156,7cm.g, P> 0.05). The cut did not affect the values of AFE, but the SLA has decreased over time. In herbage accumulation over the years, the highlight was the cultivar Xaraés compared to cultivars Marandu and Piatã (25,539 against 18,148 and 19,292 kg MS.ha.year). LAI above the residue showed a high correlation with herbage accumulation over the years with r values of 0,95, 0,93 and 0,94 for cultivars Marandu Piata and Xaraés, respectively (P <0,0001) . The partitioning of dry mass of shoots was influenced by the cut and the seasonal variations in temperature and luminosity. In all cultivars were observed periods of juvenility, being an important factor to be considered in models involving the growth of Brachiaria brizantha. The approach of empirical models proved to be a practical and viable alternative, capable of estimating forage production. The model relating the variable climate of degree-days adjusted by the ratio AE/PE showed the best prediction of the rate of accumulation of dry matter to the city of São Carlos. The CROPGRO had underestimated the dry matter production in different years, especially during the spring/summer, responsible for higher yields. Already the GRAZPLAN simulated satisfactorily dry mass production, estimating values very close to the real values of production, both in periods of low production (fall/winter) and in the period of peak production (spring/summer).

Produção de forragem em Brachiaria brizantha: adaptação, geração e avaliação de modelos empíricos e mecanicistas para estimativa do acúmulo de forragem