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Economic and financial viability study of citrus industry: impacts of the sectoral council creation This study is composed of two articles aimed to analyze the relative and absolute margins of commercialization of orange processing industry and the economic and financial feasibility for the implementation of this venture in the state of São Paulo. Although it is an important agribusiness production chain for the country, it observed a deterioration of relations between citrus fruit growers and the processing industry of orange juice. After a brief introduction and justification of the problem in the first chapter, in the second chapter it is possible to analyze marketing margins of the citrus industry. When the revenue from exports of by-products is included, it was found that the industry has operated with positive and higher relative margins. In the second article (the third chapter of this dissertation), three industrial plants of citrus processing are considered in the financial analysis, based on the mix of production, in addition to incorporate a pricing mechanism for the orange box to be paid to the grower through the CONSECITRUS model. The methodology of discounted cash flows was used for calculating the net present value of indicators NPV, internal rate of return IRR, Payback PB and Payback discounted PBD for the projects. The results indicated that there is feasibility in all models and scenarios analyzed. However, through the probabilistic analysis it was found that there is a high financial risk, measured through the negative quantile of the NPV distribution. Although the financial risk is significant, it appeared that the CONSECITRUS model would offer the industry a risk, lower than the one currently in effect. In this context, the Brazilian citrus industry proves to be a reasonably profitable activity in the long term, although it is subject to a high level of risk.

Estudo da viabilidade econômico-financeira da indústria de citros: impactos da criação de um conselho setorial