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The Forest Transition Theory states that forest recover arises from changes in the focus of the economy, where the tertiary and secondary sectors would replace the primary sector. Critics affirm that the transition occurs through the displacement of agricultural production abroad, while producing countries go through an expansion of agriculture, losing forest cover. Other authors refute the idea that international trade would be the primary linkage between the Forest Transition occurrence in importing countries and the advance of agricultural frontiers in producing countries. Considering the divergence between explanatory models, this study seeks to assess whether the international trade of agricultural commodities promotes the displacement of deforestation areas from importing countries to commodityexporting countries. Data on exports and imports of soybeans and palm oil by the main countries in these markets were analyzed, and then compared with data on the historical variation of the forest cover of these countries between 1990 and 2015. The results indicate that there is significant correlation between the international trade of commodities and the variation of forests during the analyzed period.

Variações na cobertura florestal e o comércio internacional de commodities agrícolas: uma investigação à luz da Teoria de Transição Florestal