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As rolling bearings are the key components in rotating machinery, bearing performance degradation directly affects machine running status. A tendency prognosis for bearing performance degradation is thus required to ensure the stability of operation. This paper proposes a novel strategy for bearing performance degradation trend prognosis, including health indicator construction techniques and a performance degradation trend prediction method. To more accurately represent the degradation trend, the multiscale deep bottleneck health indicator is proposed as a new synthesized health indicator to remove high-frequency detail signals from features, which can reduce possible fluctuations in conventional synthetic health indicators. A suitable method for selecting the statistical characteristics required for fusion is also presented to solve the problem of information redundancy that affects trend representation. In addition, a stacked autoencoder network is used for deep feature extraction of selected statistical features. A bidirectional long short-term memory network prediction model is also proposed for the prediction of degradation trend, which can make full use of historical and future information to improve prediction accuracy. Finally, experiments are carried out to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method.

A Novel Multiscale Deep Health Indicator with Bidirectional LSTM Network for Bearing Performance Degradation Trend Prognosis