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A number of literatures suggest that military strength has been losing centralityand importance to nonmilitary factors of national power. In this paper, logistic regressions anddata from the Correlates of War (COW) project are used to investigate whether over the 1820Ã‚Â–2000time horizon, for the great powers and their proximate contenders, the importance of militarycapabilities to national power has declined vis-ÃƒÂ -vis that of economic capabilities. Estimationwas carried out using generalized estimating equations (GEEs). The overall picture that emergesfrom the analysis is that of a transition in progress from a systemic state in which military capabilitieswere the dominant determinants of national power to a state in which economic capabilities willbecome the dominant ones. The analysis is concerned withlong-run trends, and its results are not necessarily applicable to specific countriesand circumstances

The Long-Run Dynamic of the Nexus between Military Strength and National Power: An Econometric Analysis