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Due to mainstream adoption of cloud computing and its rapidly increasing usage of energy, the efficient management of cloud computing resources has become an important issue. A key challenge in managing the resources lies in the volatility of their demand. While there have been a wide variety of online algorithms (e.g. Receding Horizon Control, Online Balanced Descent) designed, it is hard for cloud operators to pick the right algorithm. In particular, these algorithms vary greatly on their usage of predictions and performance guarantees. This paper aims at studying an automatic algorithm selection scheme in real time. To do this, we empirically study the prediction errors from real-world cloud computing traces. Results show that prediction errors are distinct from different prediction algorithms, across virtual machines, and over the time horizon. Based on these observations, we propose a simple prediction error model and prove upper bounds on the dynamic regret of several online algorithms. We then apply the empirical and theoretical results to create a simple online meta-algorithm that chooses the best algorithm on the fly. Numerical simulations demonstrate that the performance of the designed policy is close to that of the best algorithm in hindsight.

Online Optimization in Cloud Resource Provisioning