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The CDF II measurement of $W$ boson mass is at significant ($6.9\,\sigma$)tension with the Standard Model, and moderate ($4.0\,\sigma$) tension withrecent results from ATLAS. Any attempt to interpret this as a signature of newphysics requires high-precision, robust, falsifiable predictions. The ClassicalAnalogue to the Standard Model In pseudo-Riemannian spacetime (CASMIR) is ananalogue model predicting $W$ and $Z$ boson masses of$80.3587(22)~\mathrm{GeV}/c^2$ and $91.1877(35)~\mathrm{GeV}/c^2$ respectively.During baryon collisions satisfying $\sqrt{s}< 3.09~\mathrm{TeV}$, CASMIRpredicts a color-mediated enhancement of $W$ and $Z$ boson masses, becoming$80.4340(22)~\mathrm{GeV}/c^2$ and $91.1922(35)~\mathrm{GeV}/c^2$ respectively.The unenhanced masses are consistent with ATLAS data collected at$\sqrt{s}=7~\mathrm{TeV}$, and the enhanced masses are consistent with CDF IIdata collected at $\sqrt{s}=1.96~\mathrm{TeV}$. According to CASMIR, operationof the LHC at centre-of-mass energies small compared with $3.09~\mathrm{TeV}$but large enough for $W$ boson formation should permit ATLAS to replicate theresult from CDF II.

Falsifiable analog model predictions of $W$ mass in CDF II and ATLAS