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The goal of the study was to determine which similarity coefficient and statistical method to use to produce the highest rate of correct assignment (RCA) in repetitive extragenic palindromic PCR-based bacterial source tracking. In addition, the use of standards for deciding whether to accept or reject source assignments was investigated. The use of curve-based coefficients Cosine Coefficient and Pearson's Product Moment Correlation yielded higher RCAs than the use of band-based coefficients Jaccard, Dice, Jeffrey's x, and Ochiai. When enterococcal and Escherichia coli isolates from known sources were used in a blind test, the use of maximum similarity produced consistently higher RCAs than the use of average similarity. We also found that the use of a similarity value threshold and/or a quality factor threshold (the ratio of the average fingerprint similarity within a source to the average similarity of this source's isolates to an unknown) to decide whether to accept source assignments of unknowns increases the reliability of source assignments. Applying a similarity value threshold improved the overall RCA (ORCA) by 15 to 27% when enterococcal fingerprints were used and 8 to 29% when E. coli fingerprints were used. Applying the quality factor threshold resulted in a 22 to 32% improvement in the ORCA, depending on the fingerprinting technique used. This increase in reliability was, however, achieved at the expense of decreased numbers of isolates that were assigned a source.

Methods To Increase Fidelity of Repetitive Extragenic Palindromic PCR Fingerprint-Based Bacterial Source Tracking Efforts