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Total energy consumption and intensity in transportation industry are the critical factors to the success of future energy safety and greenhouse gas emission control. Total energy consumption in aviation transportation, pollution emission in road transportation, especially the exhaust gas emission from the private vehicles and road freight transport vehicles shall be the most crucial constraints for Beijing transportation industry to reach the energy saving and emission reduction target responsibility and obtain the air pollution governance effect in 13th Five Year Plan (2016-2020). Combining the 12th Five Year Plan period(2010-2015) analysis of transportation industry and study on energy demand prediction of private vehicles in Beijing, and after using the predict technique of a exponential growth model and the moving average method to revise the predicted result, the study predicts a quantitative range of energy consumption demand in Beijing transportation industry for the next five years, meanwhile suggested a three-level estimation of the total control of the energy consumption target in Beijing transportation industry, and proposed policy suggestions for energy saving and consumption reduction in Beijing transportation area.

Study on the Beijing Transportation Energy Saving and Consumption Reduction under the Total Energy Consumption Restriction