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Efficient management of wind ramping characteristics can significantly reduce wind integration costs for balancing authorities. By considering the stochastic dependence of wind power ramp (WPR) features, this paper develops a conditional probabilistic WPR forecast (cp-WPRF) model based on copula theory. The WPRs dataset is constructed by extracting ramps from a large dataset of historical wind pow...

A Copula-Based Conditional Probabilistic Forecast Model for Wind Power Ramps