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With the rapid development of clean energy and serious delay of grid construction, water abandonment is becoming more and more severe. Under this condition, this paper proposed a multi-objective model with probability constraints of trans-provincial hydropower consumption considering dynamic stability limit. Firstly, a mathematical expression about the dynamic stability limit of trans-provincial channel is constructed. Secondly, a risk assessment index of abandoned water is established on the basis of semi-absolute deviation. Then, based on the framework of stochastic programming, a multi-objective model with probability constraints is proposed for hydropower transmission in trans-provincial trade. By means of genetic algorithm with embedded Monte-Carlo simulation technology, the model can be solved efficiently. Finally, data of Tibet power grid is calculated to verify the validity and universality of the research. The results show that the established model can achieve optimal economic benefit between grid companies and generation enterprises, and also effective management of water abandonment risk.

A Multi-Objective Model with Probability Constraints of Trans-Provincial Hydropower Consumption Considering Dynamic Stability Limit