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Modelling and understanding variability in wind generation will be increasingly important in the future with growing shares of wind power in energy systems. Crucially, the modelling needs to be extended to future scenarios, also considering the expected technological development of installations. Reanalysis data is often used in large-scale simulations to model the variability in wind. Wind power plant (WPP) data is also required, but may be only partially available. In this paper, a methodology for estimating missing hub height data is presented, using multiple regression models and large WPP and turbine datasets. The resulting estimated hub heights are presented on a pan-European level, and a scenario with capacity factor development until 2050 for two example countries is shown in detail.

Large-scale wind generation simulations: From the analysis of current installations to modelling the future