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Prediction of lightning strikes has become an important area of research since it can help mitigate the damages to life and property happening on a wide scale over the Indian subcontinent. A long-range Lightning Detection Sensor Network (LDSN) has been established under the National Information System for Climate and Environment Studies programme of the National Remote Sensing Centre (NRSC), Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO). The observation data have been compared with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)-Elec module, which simulates the lightning occurrences over the Indian region. The forecasting results are compared with the LDSN data for January–December 2022. We noted a good agreement in the spatial distribution of lightning occurrences estimated with the help of WRF-Elec module and the LDSN observations. The present study elaborates these findings with probability of detection varying from 0.6 to 0.9 during the study period.

Comparison of ground-based lightning detection network data with WRF-Elec forecasting estimates over India – Initial results