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Featured with the harmonic sinusoidal function to reflect temperature effects, the hydrostatic-season-time (HST) model is often used to monitor the concrete gravity dam health, but it does not take account of the effects of environment temperatures in real-term and has flaws especially when applied in conditions of significant temperature variations. A model of Sparrow Search Algorithm optimized error Back Propagation neural network (SSA-BP) based on the hydrostatic-temperature-time (HTT) model is proposed in this paper for predicting the concrete gravity dam displacement using the long-term environment temperature variable sets to reflect temperature effects. Successive Projections Algorithm (SPA) is used for the first time for feature selection on long-term temperature variables to further optimize the model (as SPA-SSA-BP). Through a case study with the practical observed data from a reality high concrete gravity dam, the effectiveness of the new model is verified, suggesting that HTT-based SSA-BP models have better performance than HST with the best result obtained when using the 2-year long variable sets. The SSA-BP model has much lower error in predicting the concrete dam displacement than Multiple Linear Regression (MLR). The arithmetic speed and prediction accuracy of the SPA-SSA-BP model is optimized as it can minimize the collinearity among feature variables in the long-term HTT variable sets, bring down the input variable dimension close to the level of HST, and diminish the redundant data information.

SSA optimized back propagation neural network model for dam displacement monitoring based on long-term temperature data