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During the urbanization process in Mongolia, Ulaanbaatar (UB) became the most dominant metro-city in the nation and the most popular migration destination. We examined the changes in migration to UB during the economic transition of 2002–2017 and explored driving forces using the dataset from the Mongolia National Labor Survey. The results confirmed that relatively higher wages and lower unemployment positively influenced migration toward UB. Using the multinomial logistic regression, we find a 1% increase in the expected wage increases the likelihood of migration to core UB by 6.75%; a 1% increase in relative income increases the odds of migration to core UB by 3.17%; and a 1% increase in the expected unemployment rate decreases the odds of migration to core UB and peri-UB by 1.14% and 1.64%, respectively. We also confirmed the impact of environmental change and climate extremes on migration destination choice, as well as the influence of several demographic variables.

Bound to Ulaanbaatar in Mongolia