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This study examines public attitudes toward China in Taiwan and Hong Kong. It finds that before 2019, a majority of people in Taiwan and Hong Kong held positive views about the future development of China. However, many of their positive views suddenly changed during the 2019–2020 period. Those two years witnessed several contingent events underlining political tensions across the Taiwan Strait, and between China and Hong Kong. In addition, this study shows that self-interest considerations and ideology-oriented factors have different effects on public attitudes toward China in Taiwan and Hong Kong. In Taiwan, both self-interest and ideology-oriented factors have significant impacts; in Hong Kong, only ideological factors, including local identity, party identification, and belief in democracy, have significant associations with public attitudes toward China.

Changing Attitudes toward China in Taiwan and Hong Kong in the Xi Jinping Era