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An exogenous policy change that ended the ability of rural Ethiopian households to affect the size or security of their land holdings through fertility decisions provides a natural experiment to explore the impact of land tenure institutions on fertility. Use of a difference-in-differences approach that uses aggregated data from censuses before (1994) and after (2007) the reform found large fertility effects, with rural women estimated to have reduced life-time fertility by one child due to the reform. Estimated effects on urban women or employment outcomes are not significantly different from zero and robustness checks show no evidence of spillovers or policy endogeneity.

Pronatal Property Rights over Land and Fertility Outcomes: Evidence from a Natural Experiment in Ethiopia