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Recently, we (1) published a report showing that, among civilians fatally shot, officer race does not predict civilian race and there is no evidence of anti-Black or anti-Hispanic disparities. As Knox and Mummolo (2) correctly state, this is different from the likelihood of being shot given a person’s race, Pr(shot∣race). Although we are clear about the quantity we estimated and provide justification for calculating Pr(race∣shot) in our introduction (see ref. 3), Knox and Mummolo (2) are right that our language in the significance statement of our report should be more careful.However, Knox and Mummolo (2) are incorrect in their criticism that we did not “consider how many minority or White civilians are encountered [by police]” or that “The original paper infers no evidence of anti-Black or anti-Hispanic disparity simply because more fatally shot civilians are White.” Similarly, Schimmack and Carlsson (4) are incorrect in their criticism that our results “do not control for the fact that we would expect a higher number of White victims simply because the majority of US citizens are White.”We agree that the estimate of Pr(race∣shot) will be uninformative if it does not account for racial differences in police exposure. We discuss this in our introduction when we note that … [↵][1]2To whom correspondence may be addressed. Email: djjohnson{at}smcm.edu. [1]: #xref-corresp-1-1

Reply to Knox and Mummolo and Schimmack and Carlsson: Controlling for crime and population rates