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Locey and Lennon (1) recently conducted an analysis of microbial and macrobial communities to investigate the effect of sample size (N, number of individuals or reads observed) on community species richness (S), species evenness (Simpson), frequency distribution skew, and frequency count of most abundant taxa. They argue that log–log linear models fit these relationships, specifically claiming that the index of the power law between sample size and species richness is consistent across macro- and microorganisms. Furthermore, they use the “lognormal model of biodiversity” to estimate global microbial biodiversity around 1011 to 1012 taxa. Although their claims are appealing and elegant, I argue (from a statistical perspective) …

Extrapolating abundance curves has no predictive power for estimating microbial biodiversity