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With the victory of China’s fight against poverty in 2020, the focus of poverty alleviation will shift to prevent poverty reinstatement. With the help of the survey data of 676 poverty-alleviation households in Liangshan Prefecture, this paper identifies the poverty-return risk of poverty-alleviation households and further analyzes its related influence mechanism. The results found that most of the poverty-alleviation households have a low risk of returning to poverty. The impact mechanism shows that the village hardening road compliance status, endogenous development motivation, county per capita GDP, and the proportion of wage income are negatively correlated with the risk of poverty-returning households in Liangshan prefecture; however, this effect has group heterogeneity and is more conducive to reducing the poverty-return risk for those with higher risk of returning to poverty. The number of people with disabilities and the number of people receiving subsistence allowances in the family are positively correlated with the poverty-return risk. And put forward suggestions to prevent poverty return based on industrial development.

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Research on Identifying the Risk of Returning to Poverty from Poverty-alleviation Households1 and Industrial Development in Liangshan Prefecture, China