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This paper classified, extracted and characterized the causes of accidents based on accident statistics of chemical enterprises in Jiangsu Province from 2015 to 2019. The internal relationship between the accident result and various causes is analyzed from the aspects of human, machine, material, method, ring and pipe; and using the analytic hierarchy process to establish the comprehensive evaluation index system of the accident, which was applied to predict the accident probability of chemical enterprise. The probability of production safety accident in a chemical enterprise is predicted by using this method, and the probability of the accident is at level of "more likely to happen". The example showed that the analytic hierarchy process has strong operability and good effect, and can be used to predict the accident risk of chemical enterprises. causes and can realize the accident probability prediction of chemical enterprises.

Study on comprehensive index system of production safety accident in chemical enterprise