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This paper is based on the input-output panel data of logistics industry in 30 provinces and regions in China from 2005 to 2017, using nonparametric DEA model to evaluate the green total factor productivity of logistics industry, and build a panel threshold model to empirically test the nonlinear impact of environmental egulation. It is found that environmental regulation has a double threshold effect on green total factor productivity of logistics industry, the estimated threshold values are 89.85 and 211.27 respectively; when environmental regulation is at a low level below 89.85, environmental regulation has a positive effect of 2.09% on green total factor productivity of logistics industry, when environmental regulation is in the intermediate stage of 89.85 to 211.27, environmental regulation has a positive improvement effect of 6.41% on green total factor productivity of logistics industry; when environmental regulation is at a higher level than 211.27, environmental regulation has a negative inhibitory effect of 1.57% on green total factor productivity of logistics industry. Based on the empirical conclusion, this paper puts forward: First, using the performance assessment as the baton to urge the local government to establish an effective environmental regulation system; second, the government should plan to guide the green transformation and upgrading of the logistics industry to avoid “one size fits all” environmental regulation.

Research on Green Total Factor Productivity of Logistics Industry and its threshold effect of Environmental Regulation