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Studies of loess subsidence soils under conditions of their long-term soaking and water filtration were performed. A set of predictive factors characterizing the composition and properties of loess soil responsible for its long-term deformation during soaking is revealed. A method of predicting the value of post-shrinkage compaction based on probabilistic analogies using the Bayes formula is proposed.

Forecast of magnitude post-subsidence compaction at the building on slow-subsidence of loess soils