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The original methodological approach to correct assessment of the prospects and the development scale of distributed cogeneration in the long-term forecasts of the electric power industry is proposed in the article. Required suggestions for modification of the modeling tools used for the LCOE-based screening analysis and capacity expansion planning are presented. The results of application of the proposed methodological approach, which show the significant potential for distributed cogeneration development in the UPS of Russia for different tariff groups of consumers, are given.

Methodical approach to assessing the optimal development scale of distributed cogeneration in the UPS of Russia for the long-term