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El objetivo de esta investigación es proponer un modelo empírico que explique las relaciones entre factores o constructos (variables no observadas directamente) y variables observadas, que influyen en el desempeño académico de alumnos de bachillerato. Se utilizó la información contenida en el cuestionario de contexto del Centro Nacional de Evaluación para la Educación Superior (CENEVAL) de México, y los resultados del examen CENEVAL y de trayectoria escolar del bachillerato universitario de Guerrero. Se aplicó el método Stepwise en regresión múltiple multivariada para seleccionar las variables que explican el desempeño académico como un constructo, y con las variables seleccionadas se propuso un modelo empírico de relaciones que incluye los factores personal, escolar, socioeconómico, cultural y servicios disponibles en casa. Para validar la propuesta se utilizó el modelo de ecuaciones estructurales. Se concluyó que el desempeño académico está determinado principalmente por características personales del alumno y aquéllas que caracterizan el proceso escolar.The objective of this investigation is to propose an empirical model capable of explaining the relationships between factors, or constructs (variables not observed directly), and observed variables, which influence the academic performance of high school students. The conclusions were drawn from the information contained in the context questionnaire of the National Evaluation Center for Higher Education (Centro Nacional de Evaluación para la Educación Superior - CENEVAL) of Mexico, along with the results from the CENEVAL examination and the school career of the Baccalaureate University of Guerrero. The ‘Stepwise’ method was used in multiple multivariate regression to select the variables that explain the academic performance as a construct, and with the selected variables an empirical model of relationships was proposed, including personal, school, socioeconomic and cultural factors, along with the available services within the home. To validate the proposal, a structural equation model was used. The conclusion was that academic performance is determined mainly by the personal characteristics of the student and the things that characterize the scholarly process

Un modelo empírico para explicar el desempeño académico de estudiantes de bachillerato