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ObjectivesExamining about forecasting the number of Covid-19 cases in the US can provide an overview and projection of the development of Covid-19 cases in the US so that policy makers can determine the steps that must be taken. The aim of this study was to seen whether Covid-19 confirmed cases in the US would reach 3 million cases with the SutteARIMA method forecasting approach.MethodsData from this study were obtained from the Worldometer 15 February 2020 – 2 July 2020. Data from 15 February 2020 – 25 June 2020 was used to do data fitting (26 June 2020 – 2 July 2020). Data fitting is used to see the extent of the accuracy of the SutteARIMA method in predicting data. To see the level of data accuracy, the MAPE method is used.ResultsThe results of forecasting data fitting on 26 June 2020 – 2 July 2020: 2544732; 2590888; 2632477; 2671055; 2711798; 2755128; 2803729. The accuracy of SutteARIMA for the period 26 June 2020 – 2 July 2020 based on MAPE is 0.539% and forecasting results to obtain as many as 3 million confirmed cases, namely from from 05 – 06 June 2020: 1981299; 2005706; 2030283; 2055031.ConclusionsThe SutteARIMA method predicts that 2 million confirmed cases of Covid-19 will be obtained on the WHO situation report day 168-170 or 05 – 07 June 2020.

Will COVID-19 confirmed cases in the USA reach 3 million? A forecasting approach by using SutteARIMA Method