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dynamics. The results show that warmer temperatures in growing seasons and overwintering periods can increase the defoliation area, while rainy and humid growing seasons decrease the defoliation area. Total precipitation during the early instar larval period had the greatest power to explain the variance in defoliation dynamics and had a very strong inhibitory effect, followed by the accumulative temperatures of the late instar larval period which had a positive impact, and precipitation during the middle instar larval period which had a negative impact. Weather conditions during the early instar larval period had the greatest influence on the area defoliated and accounted for 40% of the explained variance. This study demonstrates that climatic warming and drying will increase the risk of larch caterpillar outbreaks in the Great Xing’an Mountains.

journal of forestry research/journal of forestry research

Effects of meteorological factors on the defoliation dynamics of the larch caterpillar (Dendrolimus superans Butler) in the Great Xing’an boreal forests