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We assess the predictive capabilities of various classes of avalanche modelsfor solar flares. We demonstrate that avalanche models cannot generally be usedto predict specific events due to their high sensitivity to their embeddedstochastic process. We show that deterministically driven models cannevertheless alleviate this caveat and be efficiently used for large eventspredictions. Our results promote a new approach for large (typically X-class)solar flares predictions based on simple and computationally inexpensiveavalanche models.

Predictive Capabilities of Avalanche Models for Solar Flares